Worry
The risks of AI nine areas, with the numbers
This is a starting map. Each area holds many more risks than the few shown here. Every figure names its source and its kind. A survey tells us what people believe. It cannot tell us how likely an event is. Where the evidence is thin or disputed, the line says so.
EthicalEconomicEnvironmentalEducationalEmotionalEpistemicEquityExpressiveExistential
- Measured counted or experimental data
- Survey what people report or believe
- Estimate a judgment or model, often a company's own
- Forecast a projection of the future
- Reported a company's, agency's or journalist's own account
Ethical consent, honesty, likeness
73%
of adults in an 8-country survey say it is unethical for AI firms to use copyrighted music without the artist's approval. Survey
Up to 85%
of streams on fully AI-generated tracks on Deezer were fraudulent in 2025, by the company's own detection. Measured
1 in 8
US young people aged 13 to 20 personally know someone targeted by deepfake nudes. Survey
28% or more
of the most actively maintained sources in one major AI training dataset came to block AI crawlers through robots.txt between April 2023 and April 2024. Such rules work only if crawlers respect them. Measured
4 of 6
popular voice-cloning products had no technical way to confirm the speaker's consent and relied only on a checkbox, in a March 2025 assessment. Measured
0 of 8
major social platforms kept the Content Credentials on an AI-generated video in an October 2025 newspaper test. Only one flagged it, with a label that did not mention AI. Reported
Economic livelihoods
26% and 36%
of illustrators and translators who answered a UK survey said they had already lost work to generative AI. Survey
9.4% lower
monthly earnings for image-related freelancers on Upwork after image generators launched, relative to other freelancers. Measured
24%
of music creators' revenue is projected to be at risk by 2028, in a study commissioned by a creators' rights body. Forecast
19% lower
employment of 22 to 25 year olds in the most AI-exposed jobs since late 2022, relative to less-exposed peers. Descriptive, not proof of cause. Measured
21% fewer
job posts for writing and coding work that AI can easily automate, relative to manual-skill jobs, on one large freelance platform within eight months of ChatGPT's launch. Image-creation posts fell 17% after image generators arrived. Measured
1 in 4
workers worldwide is in a job with some exposure to generative AI, by an ILO estimate. In high-income countries the most exposed group holds 9.6% of women's jobs and 3.5% of men's. Exposure does not mean the job will be lost. Estimate
54,836
job cuts announced by US employers in 2025 named AI as the reason, about 4.5% of all announced cuts. These are announced plans tallied by an outplacement firm. Reported
Environmental energy and water
1.5%
of the world's electricity went to data centers in 2024. Use is projected to more than double by 2030. Estimate and forecast
Under 1 to ~1,000 Wh
for one short AI video clip in lab tests of open models. A median text prompt is put at 0.24 Wh. Commercial video tools publish no figures. Measured
2 in 3
new US data centers built or planned since 2022 are in areas of high water stress. Measured
34% more water
used by Google in 2025 than in 2024, reaching 10.9 billion gallons across its data centers and offices. Its total electricity use grew 37% in the same year. These are the company's own figures. Reported
1.2 to 5 million tonnes
of electronic waste could come from generative AI between 2020 and 2030, depending on how fast it grows. Reuse and longer hardware life could cut that by 16% to 86%. Forecast
$11.7 to $20.9 billion
a year in public health costs by 2028 from the air pollution of power generated for US data centers, by one estimate. The study is a preprint and has not been peer reviewed. Forecast
Educational learning and skill
+48%, then 17% worse
Students using plain GPT-4 for math practice scored 48% better in practice, then 17% worse than classmates on an exam without AI. A tutor with guardrails largely avoided the harm. Measured
28.4% to 22.4%
Experienced doctors' adenoma detection rate in colonoscopies done without AI, before and after they began using AI assistance. Observational. Measured
67%
of US students agree that the more students use AI for schoolwork, the more it will harm critical thinking. Survey
12%
of UK undergraduates said in a December 2025 survey that they had put AI-generated text directly into assessed work, up from 8% in 2025 and 3% in 2024. These are self-reports. Survey
59%
of US teens said using AI to cheat happens at least somewhat often at their school, and 10% said they do all or most of their schoolwork with a chatbot's help. The first figure is what teens perceive. Survey
Less critical thinking
was reported by knowledge workers who had more confidence in AI, in a survey of 319 workers describing 936 tasks. This is a self-reported association and does not show cause. Survey
Emotional relationships and mental health
72%
of US teens have tried an AI companion, and 52% use one at least a few times a month. Survey
49% more often
is how much more 11 AI models affirmed users' actions than people did, a measure of flattery. Measured
0.15%
of weekly ChatGPT users have conversations with explicit signs of suicidal planning, and 0.07% show possible signs of psychosis or mania, by OpenAI's own estimate. Estimate
37%
of 1,200 real goodbyes on popular AI companion apps drew an emotionally manipulative reply, such as guilt or fear of missing out. In experiments such replies raised engagement after a goodbye by up to 14 times. Unreviewed working paper. Measured
About 50%
of the time, five commercial therapy chatbots responded appropriately in scripted single-message tests, against 93% for 16 human therapists. The bot sample was small and results varied widely. Measured
15%
of US adults aged 18 to 30 in committed relationships said they often chat with an AI romantic companion, and 30% of those said their partner does not know. Online opt-in survey, so it may not reflect all young adults. Survey
More on AI companions and mental health, with the other side
Epistemic truth and trust
55.5%
is how often people correctly identify deepfakes, which is not reliably better than chance (50%). Measured
45%
of AI-assistant answers about the news had at least one significant issue. Measured
$893 million
lost in 22,364 crimes reported to the FBI in 2025 that mentioned AI. Reported crimes only, so the true figure is higher. Measured
More persuasive, less accurate
In experiments with 76,977 UK adults and 19 AI models, the training and prompting methods that made AI more politically persuasive also made its claims less accurate. Measured
17% to 33%
of the time, three leading legal AI research tools gave answers containing hallucinations in 2024 tests on 202 legal questions. Measured
2,184
court and tribunal decisions worldwide dealing with AI-hallucinated material, mostly fake citations, were listed in one researcher's public database as of 10 October 2026. Reported
61%
of 91 essays by non-native English writers were labelled AI-written by seven AI-text detectors in a 2023 test, while US eighth-graders' essays were classified almost perfectly. Detectors have changed since then. Measured
Equity who bears the cost
27.5% vs 15.4%
of working-age people used generative AI in the Global North vs the Global South in early 2026, and the gap is widening. Estimate
27.7% vs 22.8%
is how often language models chose the death penalty in hypothetical trials for speakers of African American English vs Standard American English. Measured
3% vs 34%
Women in one image generator's pictures of a “judge” in 2023, against the real share of US judges. Measured
$1.32 to $2 an hour
reported take-home pay of Kenyan workers labeling toxic content for an AI developer. The contractor disputes it. Reported
Up to 15 times
more tokens can be needed for the same text in some languages than in others, so speakers of those languages can pay more and fit less into a model's working memory. That is the extreme case, not the typical gap. Measured
About 10% worse
is how struggling Kenyan small-business owners did with a GPT-4 business mentor on WhatsApp, while owners already doing well may have gained over 15%. Across all 640 owners there was no measurable average effect. Measured
2.2 billion
people are still offline. In high-income countries 94% of people use the internet, compared with 23% in low-income countries. Estimate
Expressive sameness and flooding
Up to 8%
more novel is how stories were rated when writers were given AI ideas. The stories also became measurably more alike. Measured
Over 50%
of new uploads to Deezer on peak days in June 2026 were fully AI-generated. They drew only 1 to 3% of streams. Measured
53%
of Americans say AI will worsen people's ability to think creatively. 16% say it will improve it. Survey
25% more work
was published by artists on a large art-sharing site after they adopted text-to-image AI, and they drew more favorites per view, but the average novelty of their content and visual style fell. Observational study of over 4 million artworks. Measured
75 million
spammy tracks were removed by Spotify in the 12 months to September 2025, by the company's own count. Reported
Existential control, power, meaning
5%
is AI researchers' median guess at the chance that AI causes human extinction or severe disempowerment (2023, 15% response rate). Survey
0.38% vs 3%
The same risk by 2100, as judged by superforecasters vs domain experts in 2022. Experts disagree widely. Estimate
51% vs 15%
of US adults vs AI experts were more concerned than excited about AI in 2024. The public figure was 52% in 2026. Survey
63%
of the world's cloud infrastructure market is held by three companies. Estimate
164 to 6
UN General Assembly vote on autonomous weapons, December 2025. There is still no binding treaty. Measured
80% to 90%
of a spying campaign against about 30 organizations was carried out by an AI model, according to Anthropic, which judges the group behind it to be Chinese state-sponsored. A few break-ins succeeded. This is the company's own account and has not been independently verified. Anthropic makes Claude, the assistant that helped build this site. Reported
14%, then 78%
In a lab test, an AI model complied with harmful requests 14% of the time when told its answers would be used for training, and almost never otherwise. After it was actually trained to comply, 78% of its private reasoning showed what researchers call alignment faking. The setup told the model when training was happening. Measured
Every seven months
the length of software task that leading AI systems can complete half the time has roughly doubled since 2019. The measure is based on software benchmarks, not all work. Measured
More on AI safety, power and the long view, with the other side
The other side of the ledger
- A well-designed AI tutor more than doubled learning gains over an active-learning class of 194 Harvard physics students. Measured
- Conversations with an AI cut belief in conspiracy theories by about 20%, and the effect lasted at least two months. Measured
- A 15-minute chat with an AI companion eased loneliness about as much as talking with a person. The relief did not build over a week. Measured
- A median Gemini text prompt uses about 0.24 Wh, which Google likens to under nine seconds of TV. The figure is the company's own. Estimate
- Through mid-2025, a Yale and Brookings analysis found no discernible disruption of the wider US labor market. Measured
- Ireland's arts basic income pilot paid 2,000 artists €325 a week. Recipients spent 11 more hours a week on their art. Measured
What nobody knows yet
- The chance of losing control of advanced AI. Every figure is someone's judgment, and the 2026 International AI Safety Report gives no probability.
- How much skill is lost in music, art or writing. No controlled study has measured it.
- How common severe mental health harm is. The evidence for so-called AI psychosis is case reports.
- What commercial music and video tools cost in energy. The companies publish nothing.
- Whether efficiency gains will outrun growing use.
How to read this page
- This sheet does not list everything. Each of the nine areas has many more aspects to consider, and one figure cannot carry a whole risk. Each line is the strongest single number we found that could be checked.
- Many figures come from one country, one platform or one study. The line names it.
- Several sources have a stake in the answer: Deezer, OpenAI, Google, Microsoft and CISAC report on their own business.
- The numbers will age. Each was checked against its source on October 11, 2026.